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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jul 16 2017
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A westward-moving trough of low pressure located about 1000 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for some development of this system before it reaches the Lesser Antilles in two to three days. After that time, less favorable upper-level winds are expected to hinder additional development. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance Monday afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.